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Tories aim for pre-election announcement despite warnings from IMF about UK’s fragile finances
Rise in electric vehicles will hasten the collapse of the car tax base and erode fiscal headroom unless the levy is unfrozen
Analysis of the UK Budget suggests revenue gains from tax cuts are vanishingly rare
Fiscal watchdog’s forecasts at odds with Hunt’s assertion that his plans would secure ‘not just higher GDP but higher GDP per head’
Treasury headroom has shrunk to £8.9bn, leaving UK’s ‘cupboard looking bare’
Chancellor looks to chip away at opposition poll lead but party’s MPs fear speech delivered no knockout punch
The chancellor’s fiscal room for manoeuvre has been limited by deteriorating economic forecasts by UK watchdog
Deteriorating forecasts pose challenge for UK chancellor as Tory MPs seek tax cuts to improve election prospects
New fiscal forecasts show chancellor has dwindling room for manoeuvre
Former UK PM doubles down on agenda of cutting taxes and red tape at launch of new right-wing group Popular Conservatism
Business groups say scrapping of VAT-free shopping for visitors has put UK retailers at disadvantage
The case for helping the OBR by creating an independent supply-side forecaster
OBR says £13bn of budgetary headroom is exposed to changing economic assumptions as chancellor plots tax cuts
Lower UK borrowing costs are set to provide the chancellor with more options at March Budget, economists say
The Budget will reveal the prime minister’s confidence about remaining in post
Rightwing group has urged chancellor to take action over errors in public body’s predictions
Richard Hughes tells MPs there is a lack of information on the identity of overseas bondholders
Analysis of the chancellor’s cuts to national insurance and changes to Isas and pensions
I enjoy the circus — but if I were running the show, I would do things a little differently
Ex-home secretary Suella Braverman calls 2022 figures slap in face for public but ONS signals levels may be coming down
Also in this week’s newsletter: a deep dive into UK trade performance
Chancellor’s decision was a politically-charged move aimed at putting clear ideological water between his party and Labour
OBR says the economy faced serious economic headwinds even after chancellor’s Autumn Statement
Chancellor Jeremy Hunt’s reductions will be more than offset by ongoing freeze on personal allowance thresholds, according to OBR
Autumn Statement makes ‘full expensing’ permanent in win for business
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