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Coronavirus sparks bond market rally and triggers recession signal
Central bank statement notes household spending is ‘moderate’ rather than ‘strong’
Indicator that once warned of recession now at its steepest in more than a year
By mid-2019, this once-unthinkable quirk of the bond market had exploded to extremes
When short-term borrowing costs spiked in September, it marked the culmination of long-term stresses that the Federal Reserve is now working to tame
Mike Mackenzie’s daily analysis of what’s moving global markets
Bond markets are not convinced that the Federal Reserve has done enough
Recent bullish signals from bond market indicator are linked to short-term factors
Other predictors of downturns are less gloomy than the inverted yield curve
FT specialists answer questions on signs that economies around the world are losing steam
Fed presidents George and Harker say they see little reason for additional rate cuts
Asset-sensitive lenders face a hit to profits because of slump in yields
Measure could be best indicator investors have of a coming recession
Trade war and geopolitics unnerve markets and fuel rally in Treasuries
Bond market indicator worsens as questions swirl about Federal Reserve’s next move
Yield on 10-year Treasury furthest below three-month bills since eve of financial crisis
With a rate cut coming, investors are more confident the Fed will keep the economy growing
Long-term rates dip further below short-term rates after weak economic data
The recession indicator is not perfect but neither can it be ignored
Gap between 3-month and 10-year yields tends to collapse before recessions
International Edition