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We're living in a world of fools, breaking us down, when they all should let R* be higher by 150-200bp
US yield curve is at its most inverted since 1981 in sign investors see recession on horizon
Lack of lending opportunities points to prolonged weakness in growth, warn bank officials
Recession worries build but equities seen as having staying power
Euro jumps after Moscow says it will scale back military activities near Kyiv
Two-year Treasury yields rise above those of the 10-year for first time since August 2019
Quantitative easing has left the long end of the yield curve artificially low
And we better hope so
Powerful sell-off in short-term Treasuries has caused an ominous ‘flattening’ of the yield curve
Some players anticipate steepening yield curve despite it being a trade that inflicted pain this year
And bubbles are very bad
Benchmark S&P 500 equities index edges up 0.2% to new record high
Investors are dumping tech stocks for housebuilders and regional banks in anticipation of a Biden victory
Gap between five- and 30-year Treasury yields at its widest since 2016
Sell-off in long-dated Treasuries follows pledge to let US inflation run above 2%
Traders eye Fed policy shift, ballooning government spending and stabilising economy
Tumbling bond yields threaten to further crimp net interest margins
Deepening yield curve inversion sparks talk of early Fed rate cut
Coronavirus sparks bond market rally and triggers recession signal
Central bank statement notes household spending is ‘moderate’ rather than ‘strong’
Indicator that once warned of recession now at its steepest in more than a year
By mid-2019, this once-unthinkable quirk of the bond market had exploded to extremes
When short-term borrowing costs spiked in September, it marked the culmination of long-term stresses that the Federal Reserve is now working to tame
Mike Mackenzie’s daily analysis of what’s moving global markets
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